作者 Cooke, Roger M., 1946-
書名 Experts in uncertainty : opinion and subjective probability in science / Roger M. Cooke
出版項 New York : Oxford University Press, 1991
book jacket
館藏地 索書號 條碼 處理狀態
 陽明大學書庫區  Q175 C773 1991    30020100373580  在架上
稽核項 xii, 321 p. : ill. ; 24 cm
叢書名 Environmental ethics and science policy series
內容 Think tanks and oracles -- Expert opinion in practice -- Probabilistic thinking -- Heuristics and biases -- Building rational consensus -- Savage's normative decision theory -- Relative frequencies and exchangeability -- Elicitation and scoring -- Scoring rules for evaluating and weighing assessments -- Two experiments with calibration and entropy -- Combining expert opinions : review of the literature -- Classical model -- Bayesian model -- Psychological scaling models : paired comparisons -- Applications -- Appendix A. Mathematical framework and interpretation -- Appendix B. Standard normal, inverse normal, Chi square, coefficient of agreement, coefficient of concordance
主題 Science -- Philosophy
Science -- Methodology
Uncertainty (Information theory)
Probabilities
Decision making
國際標準書號 0195064658 (hbk.) : US$99.00